01/09/03

MISSISSIPPI


Revenue Collections Stagnant, Experts Tell Legislature

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STEVEN A. McCALEB
103 ALVERADO DRIVE
LONG BEACH, MISSISSIPPI 39560
PHONE & FAX: (228)-868-8428

E-MAIL: mccaleb4thdist@aol.com

WEB SITE: www.mississippiwebsite.com

 

State fiscal experts told lawmakers Thursday that Mississippi's economy is still stagnant, though there may be signs of improvement. Then, again, maybe not.

The uncertainty of revenue collections has lawmakers struggling to juggle the needs of education, social services and corrections.

Gov. Ronnie Musgrove called on legislators to make education the priority for the session. A group of educators did the same, saying only by fully funding K-12, the junior colleges and universities could the state expect to see more jobs and a better trained work force.

State Superintendent of Education Henry Johnson said educators are not telling lawmakers how to do their jobs, but only saying when the time came for setting priorities education should lead the list.

Legislative budget writers have proposed a $3.5 billion state budget for fiscal 2004 with no increases in agency funding over the present levels. That budget reflects only a $1.2 million increase in general fund money between fiscal years 2003 and 2004. Fiscal year 2004 begins July 1, 2003.

The Legislature has promised to pay for the third year of the five-year teachers salary increase package at a cost of $74 million; a full year of raises for senior and junior colleges, $10.3 million; and a full year of higher pay for state employees, $12.2 million.

Johnson said the public schools alone need $180 million more that the legislative budget writers included. The junior colleges want $58 million more and the universities, about $100 million more.

Much of those funds were in spending cuts Musgrove ordered or shortages in appropriations by the Legislature. At a fiscal briefing, the experts lawmakers rely on for advice said the economy is moving - a little - but no great improvement is expected.

"There might be a slight growth in the revenue projections,'' said Tax Commission chairman Ed Buelow. "As I have said we'll probably make some (projections), we'll miss some. It's going to be kind of a hit-and-miss thing.''

Musgrove has cut state spending by $22 million through December, with six months remaining in the fiscal year. State revenue fell $57 million below original estimates, though Mississippi has collected more money for the first six months of fiscal 2003 than it did during the same period last fiscal year.

Buelow and state economist Phil Pepper said revenue from the holiday season may show a welcome upward trend.

"While our economy is weak, our revenues are growing about at the rate expected,'' Pepper said.

"I think December will be a lot better than we expected,'' Buelow said. "Now whether that will continue through the rest of the year or not, I don't know.''

Rep. Charlie Capps, D-Cleveland, the House Appropriations chairman, said the uncertainty plays havoc with trying pass a budget.

"I am really weary of being short of our estimate. The Legislature follows the estimating committee. We're looking bad and y'all are looking bad,'' Capps said.

The Tax Commission, Pepper's office, the state treasurer, the state fiscal officer and the Legislative Budget Office prepare the economic forecast on which the budget is built.

(Copyright 2003 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

STEVEN A. McCALEB
COMMENTARY
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1. Revenue Collections Stagnant, Experts Tell Legislature
State fiscal experts told lawmakers Thursday that Mississippi's economy is still stagnant, though there may be signs of improvement. Then, again, maybe not. The uncertainty of revenue collections has lawmakers struggling to juggle the needs of education, social services and corrections....
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